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In the early eighties I had a neighbor who studied computer programming in college but didn't pursue it as a career because he believed it had no future. His reasoning was that software coders were the future secretaries of the world, someday doing little more than rearranging the code written by those who came before. He figured the pay for programmers would approach minimum wage in 15 years or so.

We're still waiting for that to happen, but I think of his prediction whenever I see young people making career choices. There's a lot of guessing involved.

I think technical people, and engineers in particular, will always have good job prospects. But what if you don't have the aptitude or personality to follow a technical path? How do you prepare for the future?

I'd like to see a college major focusing on the various skills of human persuasion. That's the sort of skillset that the marketplace will always value and the Internet is unlikely to replace. The persuasion coursework might include...

Sales methods

Psychology of persuasion

Human Interface design

How to organize information for influence

Propaganda

Hypnosis

Cults

Art (specifically design)

Debate

Public speaking

Appearance (hair, makeup, clothes)

Negotiations

Managing difficult personalities

Management theory

Voice coaching

Networking

How to entertain

Golf and tennis

Conversation

You can imagine a few more classes that would be relevant. The idea is to create people who can enter any room and make it their bitch.

Colleges are unlikely to offer this sort of major because society is afraid and appalled by anything that can be labeled "manipulation," which isn't even a real thing.

Manipulation isn't real because almost every human social or business activity has as its major or minor objective the influence of others. You can tell yourself that you dress the way you do because it makes you happy, but the real purpose of managing your appearance is to influence how others view you.

Humans actively sell themselves every minute they are interacting with anyone else. Selling yourself, which sounds almost noble, is little more than manipulating other people to do what is good for you but might not be so good for others. All I'm suggesting is that people could learn to be more effective at the things they are already trying to do all day long.

 
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Sep 16, 2010
You know Scott, the major you described sounds just like marketing.

Sure, I've never seen a class on hypnosis or cults, but the vast majority of 'classes' you listed are actually covered within the various courses that make up a major in marketing. I agree that the skillset involved with persuasion is something that will always be valued by the marketplace (and always has if you think about it).
 
 
Sep 14, 2010
GLK:

Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
 
 
Sep 14, 2010
Convincing people there's no such thing as manipulation is something a true master manipulator would do. I would add that you have stated in the past that you sometimes use hypnosis techniques in your writing (including, if I recall correctly, blog entries) to elicit certain kinds of responses. Well done, Scott, well done.
 
 
Sep 13, 2010
Seems to me that your neighbor's prediction will come true shortly before your blog of 8 Sep comes true.

As to your curriculum choices, not that I am conspiracy theorist, but isn't that the responsiblity of the "secret societies" to impart that knowledge on the future leaders? That would explain why we have had so many Ivy League educated presidents, right?
 
 
Sep 13, 2010
Reminds me of the movie "School for Scoundrels" (the original, not the silly 2006 remake)
 
 
Sep 12, 2010
I had a similar experience to your friend. Sometime around 1987, a friend suggested computer programming as a career. I had already attended a few basic programming courses and done exceedingly well in them. But when it came to making it a career, I thought, "This stuff is so easy that anybody can do it. Why would anybody hire programmers?" and decided to do something else in life.

Of course I was then in my teens and knew little about how the world works. In one sense it was a mistake; in another I was lucky I did not become part of the glorified migrant labour pool.
 
 
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Sep 12, 2010
I've often wondered if we'd have all been a lot better off if humankind had put as much emphasis on understanding each other as we've done in technical pursuits? Considering how advanced our Star Trek-like pursuits are, then just imagine if we'd accomplished equal advances in understanding what makes us all tick. Ultimately, we'd be a lot less gullible, a lot less judgmental, and a whole lot more understanding. This would equate to a vastly more contented society that would be less prone to embrace personal vices and war. Instead, society ignores introspection and as such exhibits the same ego driven negative issues displayed thousands of years ago, but now we have high tech toys and nuclear bombs. This is probably a recipe for disaster.
 
 
Sep 12, 2010
I think more people will have the "aptitude or personality" to do math when society starts to acknowledge the value of those who do and look down on those who don't. With the economy in the toilet it is becoming more clear that your degree in basket weaving isn't worth anything.

A degree in science or engineering will most likely pay more than studying poetry.
 
 
Sep 12, 2010
This is a wonderful opinion. The things mentioned are unanimous and needs to be appreciated by everyone.
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Sep 11, 2010
The article is so true. Schools and colleges need to wake up and emphasize these skills.

The flip side is "Don't be Influenced by BS". Schools and colleges should teach BS detector skills a lot more also.

If you are ethical, you influence others towards a win-win outcome, rather than an I-win-at-your-expense outcome.

Being persuasive, and resistant to bogus persuasion, are two things that could make each of us, and our whole country a lot better off.
 
 
Sep 11, 2010
I wouldn't dismiss your friend's comments so easily. As a programmer I am constantly faced with reworking someone else's work. Rarely is the occasion when I start on something completely new and, like an airline technician, the best jobs are taken by a selected few and even those jobs are subject to reworking existing work. To illustrate this point, when was the last time you saw Microsoft produce an entirely new product? Most of what they release is version nth of a pre-existing product.
 
 
Sep 11, 2010
Even though it is not taught explicitly, is this not what children are taught by being put in any social environment, including kindergarten, school, university, etc.? One might call it socialization rather than manipulation though (it sounds more legitimate).
 
 
+4 Rank Up Rank Down
Sep 11, 2010
I was an interrogator in the US Army, and we had a certain amount of training in what might be euphemistically called applied psychology. Even with the narrow focus with which I was taught, the training has been invaluable through the years since. Knowing when one is being lied to, learning to search for hidden truth, and to really listen to what others are saying are great skills which are in short supply.
 
 
Sep 10, 2010
Amen. it's so true. Tech jobs are disappearing to India, China, Romania and other countries. It's getting so that tech jobs are more and more about managing and becoming less about coding. Like your friend, I too see a future where tech jobs don't pay well, not when outsourcing and open sourcing makes increasing practical sense to decision makers. I predict tax breaks are coming to companies who don't outsource. And I predict that the next Republican president will repeal that.
 
 
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Sep 10, 2010
Ok, replace "!$%*!$%*!" with a word the phonicly resembles "bee-yotch-es"
 
 
+1 Rank Up Rank Down
Sep 10, 2010
Aren't you describing managers? Aren't the real !$%*!$%*! the tech professionals (who lack social skills) whose talent and energy are under the undue influence of some sort of PHB (who posesses social skills)?

Seems like the third-panel punchline for every other Dilbert comic, and why it resonates so well with the tech-ish core audience is that it is true.

Perhaps these skill-sets should be professional development for techies, if just to provide a defense to being so easily social-engineered.

 
 
Sep 10, 2010
snowboarding:
> Add "money grubbing" and you would have the perfect skill set for a politician.

I think you overestimated the skill set of most of the politicians. There was a former politician in New Zealand who got voted out, and the only job he could find was in a jewelery shop earning minimum wage.

Scott: any chance that career-path-change student sucked at programming, couldn't handle it anymore, and was just saying that to cover his back? From the sound of it, the way he was ``programming'' (i.e. copy and paste other people's code) really didn't sound like he knew what was going on.
 
 
Sep 10, 2010
To be a secretary... chair, desk, paper, pencil, computer and any idiot that can write and answer a phone. Availability: Around every corner.

To be a programmer... passion, creativity, high intelligence and super human problem solving skills. Availability: Rare

Maybe if programming was easy as checking your facebook or youtube I can see it. However, this is not the case. Not everyone can program, even if they wanted to as it takes a special mind. Mix that with more becoming needed every day. Add a sprinkle of good English (American bred) and your set as a programmer in the US, not to mention job security. You could be a high school drop out, but if you can program like the best of them your getting a good job (or even creating more jobs). You can't say that about too many other non-dangerous professions.

When taking up a new career path think...

Is the industry growing?
How strong is the need?
How many are skilled enough?
How many want to do it?

If the need is high and few are skilled you get paid swell. As of now programming is at the top of this category and the need is only increasing... new code needs written for new technology.

Anyone who thinks the programmer will go the way of the auto mechanic has never really thought it out. Surely don't take any advice from that guy lol.
 
 
Sep 10, 2010
Scott

Your friend from the 80's was partially correct, at least as far as the developed world is concerned. Yes, during the 90's computer programming would have been a major with an incredible bang to buck ratio, but since the dot com bust, such jobs have been fairly low paying. The market is flooded with people who will probably be doing boring and repetitive jobs when they are lucky to find work. Yes, that doesn't mean that there aren't programmers who make a lot of money, but it is kind of like basketball; yes some players make millions, but the vast majority make close to nothing (if you include everyone who plays basketball in this world, not just the pro athletes).
 
 
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Sep 10, 2010
And in honor of the poster graduate, it's gonna be called Palin University? [yeah, yeah, already thought of the shorter verstion]
 
 
 
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